
Nationals 18's and 16's
I'm not from SA but all the arguments are familiar to me. To take these statements at face value, I should pull my 14 year old from the State team and not bother to go to Perth because clearly I don't know these mystical people who make the decisions, so she'll be wasting her time having any basketball ambitions.
But having been involved in the sport for many years, and more recently as a coach involved with State teams, I can say some of your cynicism needs to be checked. My daughter missed the State team last year and I didn't agree with her non-selection (being as objective as I could). Other girls missed out this year and I didn't agree with their omission either. Every year, the coach in question gets second-guessed by people with very little insight into the process or his game-plan. Yet at the end of the day, he takes the team away, he puts together the game plan and he wears the bouquets or brickbats based on the team's results. This is the lot of the coach.
When I pick a team, I look at what a player can do for that team - not what they can do, how many points they score or any other statistically objective measure. Were I to rely on objective measures only I would die watching the selection trials as everybody tried to 'get theirs' and then spend the season managing egos and playing time to try and keep everybody happy.
The selection process for Institute players is exhaustive (my daughter is on the very bottom rungs of this ladder in the ITC program). They are seen at camps, they are seen at tournaments, they are seen locally, in individual workouts and ultimately at national development camps and on national teams - all before being picked for the Institute. Its not based on one tournament. Its not based on absolute ability. There are fantastic U16 players who will never play at an elite level as adults - that is the nature of development. The AIS makes mistakes, nearly every team has players they regret picking. It happens. Probably the best predictor of a junior's success is not what teams they get picked for, but how they respond when they miss out on a team.

