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I am always glad to be proven wrong, especially when I have tipped Sturt to win.
I think that game will be a very good game. Sturt are pretty young, Centrals are young, but Kyle Miller is returning for the Lions, so don't expect him to see much time on his bum on the bench. Sturt will control the game through their fouling and grabby D. Refs get tired of calling fouls so they take the weak option and let things go. That works for the team playing that grabby D and so I think that will be the difference.
The West-Forestville game will be another very, very good game. West should be dominant around the boards and should win the inside game. Forestville will need to be shooting well to keep in touch. But....one thing that Forestville do very well is stay within armpit sniffing range all game. Don't be surprised is they are down around 5 with 2 mins to go and win the game. The Ginger Ninja is begging to be fed a kickout for a swish 3.