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Jack Toft

Years ago

ABL Finals Time

Sturt can sneak into the 5 IF either one of North or Centrals go LL & they go WW. They will need to beat West at Port in R18.

I think they have an 85% chance of a win against Norwood, and will probably go down in single figures to West. They have say a 10% chance against West.

North @ home should just pip Centrals, but face a much improved Eastern @ Mt Barker. 50% chance of a win, and 70 to 80% chance of a win against Eastern. Centrals say 50% chance against North, then play South @ STARplex. Say a 90% chance at home.

P(Sturt in 5) around 1 in 80 chance. Possible, but unlikely - "No soup for Sturt, NEXT!"

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