Hoops

Can 36ers steal 4th place from Melbourne?

As a Sixers fan I hope they make it but either way the end of the season is a lot more exciting than it seemed a few weeks ago and that is what the game needs.

Yes, my bad on the maths. Melbourne just need to limp over the line to get the split. Melbourne are up by 5, but are down 1-2 at the moment.

Perth has not beaten NZB so far this season. Against the other teams, they currently sit:

Adelaide: 2-1 +21
Cairns: 1-1 +3
Melbourne 2-1 -5
NZB: 0-2 -21
Sydney 2-1 +36
Townsville 1-1 -7
Hawks 4-0 +62

Melbourne (H) - if they drop this then they are in trouble
Townsville (A) - genuine 50/50 game. Friday night games at Home (x7), average score is 83:72.4 (+10.6), Friday night away 81:76.3 (+4.7)
Cairns (A) - Loss
Breakers (A) - Loss
Kings (H) - Win - scores should be around 85:65
Taipans (H) - 60% Win. Scores should be around 82 each
Breakers (H) - 80% Loss
Sixers (A) - Loss - no debate required
Townsville (H) - 90% Win

More than likely, they will finish up 15:13 or 16:12. 17:11 would be a very good result

Horror week.... I suggest horror fortnight!!

Perth are at home to Melbourne Wednesday night but then fly to Townsville and play less than 48 hours later before then having to head to Cairns to play the following night.

Do they go home or do they go straight to Auckland because they have to be there for a Thursday night game before heading home to play Sydney (who'll be fresh from a weeks break).

Lots of traveling and not a lot of recovery time between games (especially if they go back to Perth between Cairns and NZ games).

That's possibly the toughest schedule of any competition when you are down two key players and have a player lacking game legs.

Perth are safe, yet still can make the top 2, so no convo here about whether they make it or not. Cairns is fairly safe but I reckon Melbourne might just sneak home. That game earlier in season in Adelaide will get them there

I'm still confident Perth wont miss the playoffs, they still have 5 games at home and I can't see them losing more than 2 of those. Wollongong have gone to the wire against 36ers and NZ in recent games and are going to play a big part in who makes the 4th spot.

I wouldn't get too excited if I was a Perth (12:7) fan. Perth's run home:

Melbourne (H)
Townsville (A)
Cairns (A)
Breakers (A)
Kings (H)
Taipans (H)
Breakers (H)
Sixers (A)
Townsville (H)

Perth have lost away at Townsville, Cairns and Breakers. The Townsville/Cairns will be a tough road trip. If Melbourne pull a win, then it is possible Perth could be 12:11 in the near future.

Kings at home should be a gimme. Taipans at home will be hard even though they beat them early in the season. The Breakers beat them at home in R1 so don't expect an easy game. The last game is probably a gimme. Crocs will be broken, although they might want to go out with a bang.

Perth might slump to 13:15 and it would be good-Knight. More than likely, they will finish up 15:13 or 16:12

The Sixers won't have the split on Perth and Melbourne, but Melbourne need to get a win by about 8 to get the split on Perth and possibly steal 3rd spot.

It's going to be a very exciting end to the season

Perth are 12-7, so we basically need two wins out of 9. I don't think we deserve to be in a slip to 5th conversation yet.

Adelaide has already lost the split, so reverse your order on those predictions.