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Jack Toft

Years ago

Who will miss the NBL top four?

New Zealand are shaky. I had Melbourne down as missing out a month ago. They were woeful, but seem to have recovered.

The Illawarra-Adelaide series will be massive. 2 games in the Gong and one in Adelaide I think.

The run home:
MEL: (14/7) (10/2 & 4/5)
@CNS, CNS, @ADL, @PER, @ILL, @NZB, NZB
Should have enough at the moment to guarantee a top 4 spot. Likely wins at home and probably 1 win away should leave them 17/11

PER: (13/8) (7/1 & 6/7)
SYD, ILL, CNS, MEL, SYD, @SYD, ADL
Great run home with probably the ADL game the test. They will have top spot in the bag, so will they do a North Melbourne and rest the starting 5?
They should finish 19/9.

ILL: (12/8) (7/2 & 5/6)
NZB, @NZB, @PER, ADL, @ADL, MEL, TSV, ADL
No easy games here with all games against potential top 4 teams. Will want to ice NZB in the next game. Lose that game and they are on shaky ground. Likely finish is 15/13.

NZB: (11/8) (8/2 & 3/6)
@ILL, ILL, @TSV, @CNS, TSV, @ADL, CNS, MEL, @MEL
They have the sunshine swing, so really need to bag at least one of those games. I'm thinking they might just get to 15/13.

ADL: (10/9) (7/3 & 3/6)
@TSV, SYD, MEL, @ILL, ILL, NZB, @CNS, @ILL, @PER
Worst run home of the teams with the last 3 on the road. The Illawarra series the clincher here. I'm thinking wins @ILL crucial.

I'm going for a threeway. ADL to finish 15/13.

PER
MEL
?
?

Reply #573197 Report this topic

Train

Years ago

There is potentially 6 teams that could make the 4 including Cairns. They have just beaten Perth and NZ so they have shown they can beat the top teams. Crocs and Kings are obviously a "no chance in hell".

It will be an interesting 4-5weeks with the top 5 teams playing each other a lot.
Perth shave the best chance to finish top of the ladder only because all but one game left is at home followed closely by Hawks and Breakers. 4th spot is a tough one.

Both 36ers and United play away more than they are at home. United have a nightmare run home Taipans(A), Taipans(H), 36ers(A), Wildcats(A), Hawks(A), Breakers(A), Breakers(H)

United are up on the series vs 36ers 2-1 with a +2 points differential with their last battle penciled in for 22nd Jan in Adelaide. That game may well determine 4th place.

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