
The "No Adelaide or Brissy" Table
Thanks for the update Dazz. I've tried to work out the different possibilities depending on the results of Rd 19 but then my head exploded.

Updated for the end of round 18:
OK, I'm going to present a couple of tables here:
First, no Adelaide, Brissy, or Hawks. (I can't see the Hawks losing to Brissy, so they will finish on 15 wins, and a guaranteed spot in the final.
Wins Loss
Cairns 8 8
Sydney 8 7
Perth 8 6
MU 7 7
NZ 6 9
Note this is for illustration only. These don't include any round 19 results, and all these teams can NOT finish on equal wins
Next, no Cairns.
2 wins they're guaranteed a spot, 2 losses they miss out, 1 win, they depend on the mini-table.
Wins Loss
Perth 6 4
NZ 6 5
Sydney 5 6
MU 4 6
No Sydney.
At this point they are the most likely to not make it.
Wins Loss
Cairns 7 5
Perth 6 5
NZ 5 6
MU 4 6

Update for the end of Round 17:
Wins Losses
Sydney 11 7
Perth 10 7
Cairns 10 8
MU 7 9
NZ 8 11
Hawks 7 11

Sydney: 11 wins - 7 Losses
Perth: 10 wins - 7 Losses
Cairns: 9 wins - 8 Losses
NZ: 8 wins - 10 Losses
MU: 7 wins - 9 Losses
Hawks: 7 wins -11 Losses
updated after the Sydney/NZL game on Jan 29th.

Sydney: 10 wins - 7 Losses
Perth: 10 wins - 7 Losses
Cairns: 9 wins - 8 Losses
NZ: 8 wins - 9 Losses
MU: 7 wins - 9 Losses
Hawks: 7 wins -11 Losses
updated after the Perth/Melbourne game on Jan 28th.

What is key to making this so interesting, is that Perth lost the split to Adelaide 1:3, and Sydney lost 0:4. So if they finish tied with other teams, they're actually potentially a lot better off.

Interesting if you look at how it changes if one of those teams don't make it and it's a 5 team tie. For example - NZ drop out and all of a sudden Cairns are 5-8, Perth would be 8-4.

Scary thought.
And yeah, it could go right down to the wire, with 5 or 6 teams' placings hanging on the last MU v Perth game.

Dazz we must be on the same wave length, I was pondering posting the exact same thing!! There's some big matchups over the next few rounds and they are going to determine ladder positions in the event of a six way tie.

