Hoops

NBL/WNBL Round 3 Betting

Capitals -2

Thats a lot of players missing for the Boomers. Will they be down to an 8 girl rotation then?

Taking the over in Fire/Ranger game at 142.5 and on Lynx +15.5

Over/under for Liz today is what? 35 points?

Ohea our as well. Game on I reckon

… talked myself into that one. Oh well!

I like the whole WNBL card today.

Bendigo 2.65

Bendigo a better chance than this in Chris Lucas return game, IMO. They generally show a response from losses.

Dandenong 3.40 & +7 @ 1.90

Another week’s prep behind them and bound to be on the hunt today. Of course Fire should be tough but also chance are a little off the boil this weekend. H’cap starting to tighten inside a playable number but moneyline certainly still value at around 2.80 or so IMO.

Perth +16.5

I hedged from +9.5 to +16.5 and believe moneyline is worth a dabble at 10.00+/-. Deuver (been excellent) out for Tomlinson (heard she’s playing). Boomers obviously looking great, which can also be a downfall and face a confident & dangerous team in contrast to the last two beaten-up opponents.

Melbourne United 2.25 & +2.5 @ 1.91

Bit of a letdown spot, quelled somewhat by the big game status and season focus is obviously very strong. I make them slight fave to prove too good tonight.

Share others’ thoughts re the Lynx, I actually marked this game a pk’em .. despite the market looking vastly different to that I’m unlikely to play it now given the +6.5 is no longer available - can't accept an inferior line.

Marked the Fire -6.5 faves too so on face value nothing of interest there, although the Flames’ depth (7 points in total from its bench thus far for the season) & the revenge factor for the Fire may yet tempt me.

Actually Dandenong at $4 is not too bad either, at home vs Townsville. (Though probably worth seeing what happens with the Fire tonight vs Sydney before committing to that one)

Townsville add Sydney Wiese this week so they get even deeper.

That's a mighty nice price for Perth

I marked Townsville –6.5, so market about right IMO.


Perth Lynx 3.75 & +7 @ 1.98
Under 164.5 @ 1.93

I suspect cages will have been rattled in Perth during the week and apart from some team cohesion for a change, it will be the roster’s notorious form sleepers, rather than in Sami finding her best, that I’m looking to. Spirit are the leagues #1 hot & cold culprit over the past twelve months, although I believe they arrive wary tonight, just the matter of reproducing last Saturday’s form. I also fancy we’ll see a more defensive orientated game. To be honest it’s possible this ends in more Lynx red faces but I believe the deal is (as NBL Lover said^) “too good to refuse”. Current price has shortened but still big value at 3.35 & +6.5 IMO. Total is in to 163.0, which I still like.

Adelaide -3.5 vs Sydney

So far there will be 2 preseason games held in Adelaide, 10th Sept 7:30pm at Starplex and 11th Sept 3pm at the Arena