Hoops

Closeness of the League this year.

Isaac

Yeah, we can’t really extrapolate one “if only” without consideration of all the others. It is what it is, and that’s a pretty darn good comp considering the limits of budgets, and the tyranny of distance (someone could write a book called that).

I’m really enjoying what I see this season, and glad I don’t bet on the results cause it’s been so unpredictable. All I want now is for the final four to not be set until the last game, and good contest in all the finals.

The NBL as a competition is much more interesting than the NBA, where everybody knows the Warriors will win (again!) if they stay healthy.

Can't complain really.

Coming into the last round of the season, Melbourne were 3rd, Perth 4th and Cairns 5th. In that last round, Melbourne dropped both games - one to Perth - while Cairns beat teh top team (Adelaide). As a result, Perth finished 3rd, Cairns 4th and Melbourne ended up 6th.

UTH, beat me to it. Only close because a team operating within spending constraints (if not salary cap, owners’) who’d already signed Lisch, Randle, Newley and Bogut, went a bit budget with another signing.

Can’t play that game without playing it for every other team and every other season. Otherwise, it’s a ridiculous consideration.

It’s only close because Melbourne persisted with Boone for 1 season too long, and didn’t get a gun shooter/ penetrator import to work with Cotton.

It’s only close because Brisbane didn’t get a gun import pg to distribute the ball to Patterson and shooters, and dish to their bigs.

It’s only close because NZ chose 2 ill-suited imports.

It’s only close because Cairns patched together a team on a budget and hired a rookie coach with little time to build a roster.

It’s only close because Wright hasn’t been able to channel all his team’s aggression into winning games consistently.

It’s only close because Illawarra went with budget imports and took a chance on an import whom the league has passed by.

It’s only close because Perth put all their eggs in 1 Import basket (and 2 local baskets) and didn’t want to sign a third import.

I’m sure there’s plenty more “It’s only close becauses”.

All teams have made mistakes. The team that can best work around their mistakes in the finals will win. I’m just happy that it’s still a wide open competition.

Its only closeness because of the Sydney kings signing David Wear and not signing a backup big or a good backup rebounder, Not letting Randle have the ball

2016-17 would be the only one. Top team finished 17-11, 2nd-4th were all on 15-13, 5th was 14-14, 6th and 7th were 13-15 and 8th was 10-18.

Several games in the last round affected final positions. If Sydney had won its last 2 that season, then Perth's playoff streak would have ended that year. Instead, Sydney fell from 3rd to 7th while Perth rose from 5th to 3rd over the last 2 rounds of the season.

Coming into the last round of the season, Melbourne were 3rd, Perth 4th and Cairns 5th. In that last round, Melbourne dropped both games - one to Perth - while Cairns beat teh top team (Adelaide). As a result, Perth finished 3rd, Cairns 4th and Melbourne ended up 6th.

At this point of the 2016-17 season (20 games left to play), top team had 17 wins and was guaranteed finals. After that, one team had 12 wins, four had 11 wins, one had 10 and one had 9.

The thing about 2016-17 was that head-to-head results determined finishing positions among tied teams. Now points for percentage is used, which makes it a little harder for some teams to finish higher than others. e.g., Perth has a 2.1% better points for percentage than the next best, Melbourne. That equates to about 40 points. Melbourne is about 45 points ahead of Sydney and 50 ahead of Brisbane. They're both about 35 points ahead of NZ and 40 points ahead of Adelaide. NZ and Adelaide are both about 110 points ahead of Illawarra.

Those differentials, together with respective teams' win-loss records mean Melbourne and Perth are all but certain to play finals and are now playing for home court advantage. On the other hand, Illawarra are almost certain to miss playoffs as they'd likely lose out in any ties with other teams.

In contrast, the 2016-17 season was a little more open at this stage, due to the various head-to-head scenarios that could radically change teams' positions by virtue of a single game's outcome.

So I'd rate 2016-17 ahead of this season, but not by much.

Press release said they will make a decision within the next couple of days. Predictions/comments? How good will they be?