Hoops

Crying Foul. Who needs to buy the Refs a Christmas present?

#460 do not let reality get in the way of a good Mayberry bashing. Dude is in his 3rd year of being full time. If he was shit he’d get the sack. Probably shows the difference between those who know and those who have an emotional reaction to the fact he blows his whistle unlike half the panel. But let’s get rid of one of our only 3 rated crew chiefs. Such a brilliant idea.

Stats can only tell you so much - some teams would be officiated more during Aylen and Mayberry's menstrual cycles than others.

"If you haven't corrected for number of possessions, then I’d suggest any analysis isn’t meaningful."

I think there's still some good stuff in there.

Regardless of pace, I'd expect the difference between fouls for and against, home vs away to vary roughly in proportion to the respective total fouls called. e.g., Adelaide games at home average 44.2 fouls in total and away they average 44.0 fouls. With similar numbers of fouls being called hoem and awaay, I'd expect the foul differential to be similar home and away as well. But Adelaide are +1.4 in the foul count at home vs -3.0 away.

Doing the same with Brisbane, their away games average 1.6 fouls per game less in total. That difference is almost entirely due to Brisbane having 1.4 fewer fouls called on them per game away than at home.

The main reservation I'd have is that there'd currentyly be a material bias in whom each team has played at home vs away. e.g., Cairns have played 4 top four teams at home and only one top four team on the road. That bias is likely to affect these statistics.

The bias will lessen as the year progresses but there'll still be a residual bias at the end of the home and away round, due to the uneven draw this season.

Love your work, Jack.

Looks like Brisbane have the “worst” foul counts at home, whereas Pert have the “best”.

Sounds like crowd pressure to make calls favouring Perth at home. Brisbane seem to have low, uninvolved crowds, who wouldn’t make enough noise to pressure the refs.

I had wondered about the foul rate per possession. I wanted to see how everyone stack up before offering too much analysis. I couldn't break it down into areas, but I would love to be able to break it down into defensive half, offensive half and then the offensive key.

You would expect that a team like Adelaide that employs a fast paced run and gun type of game would play in a game where more fouls are called on both teams because of the risk. A fast break player is moving faster so that offers more charging opportunities and the defensive team would give up more blocking and holding fouls to try to slow things down. Adelaide attack the rim too so get a lot of +1's as well as FT's.

Perth play the long game. The average score in the NBL this season is 94.9 HT to 90.5 AT. Perth are 93.2:87.2 at home and 85.2:88.7 on the road. An 8 point drop in scoring on the road. The home scores are slightly lower nett scores which tell me that the possessions are played out close to the full possession (24 sec) Significantly, Perth hold teams to 3.3 less points at home and home teams 6.2 points lower on their home courts. I haven't worked out the 3 shots, but I would expect from what I have seen this season, the "typical" Perth play is to bring the ball up, pass the ball around the perimeter a little bit to create some movement within the key, then drive in, pop in out to the wing, or have an extra pass for a 3 shot, 2.3 sec left on the shot clock. Adelaide are jacking up shots when there's 15 secs left on the possession

Oh, thank you for wanting to give me a hug, you must be as well groomed as the boys you meet on line.

If you took out Griffin and apply the average players' amount of fouls, how would that change things? :P

He's collecting them as if they're going out of fashion.

Lets get some information on whats happening around Big V.
Lets start with I hear Little team down by the river soon to announce Import.